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With the world entering its second year of what promises to be a long recession,
many ask what this means for Software as a Service (SaaS) companies. Much has
been made of how the SaaS marketplace will benefit from a recession. SalesForce.com
is actually bragging of hiring hundreds of people this quarter.
Yet, when I talk to most SaaS CEOs privately, I hear stories of delayed bookings
and increased churn. It's not that the pipelines are shrinking; it's that people
aren't making decisions. And while they aren't dropping their SaaS applications,
they are cutting back. Who needs as many seats when you have laid off 20 percent
of your staff?
Probably the easiest way to think about the SaaS marketplace is that even Toyota
is selling fewer cars. They are doing better than the dinosaurs -- but when
it's bad, it's bad for everyone.
So how do you not only survive but thrive in such a broad-reaching downturn?
Look to the lessons of the past downturn, and you'll find something consistent
about the companies that came through strongly. Companies that did well in the
early 2000s, such as SalesForce and Equinix, remembered three things:
- Stick to your knitting
- Find new markets
- Make it easy
Of all the things to remember about the downturn, the first is to "stick
to your knitting". It's so easy to forget we are building companies for
the next 20 years, not for the next two quarters. As we enter another year with
dire forecasts ahead, it's easy to run after any source of revenue that's available.
In the last downturn, that meant giving up the SaaS mantra and adopting a hybrid
model that said, "We'll sell to any customer any way they want it."
How many companies succeeded doing that? Instead of dramatically increasing
market share, all such diversification did was incur the cost of running two
separate businesses under one roof. How many of the companies that went to the
hybrid model are still selling? Meanwhile, those companies that stayed pure
to the SaaS model, such as SalesForce.com and WebEx, lead their categories today.
While it may now seem obvious that the hybrid model won't work, there will
still be pressure on SaaS companies to switch up their underlying business to
improve bookings. Regardless of how it's done, switching your model will simply
not help you build a sustainable business.
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