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No one can dispute the fact that the open source movement has irrevocably changed
the software landscape. The days of commercial software's monopoly are numbered
as fewer customers accept and continue to pay exorbitant license and maintenance
fees.
Now, more users are realizing the benefits of open source software, particularly
its low cost and rapid feature development. An example is Mozilla's Firefox
browser. Although its initial release was only in 2004, it is a fully developed
browser with extended functionality courtesy of add-ins provided by its vast
user community. As a result of this, Firefox has garnered over 22 percent of
the browser market share, and it has been steadily gaining against Microsoft's
proprietary Internet Explorer with no signs of abatement.
This commoditization is good news for consumers, but is it really good news
for the future of innovation? Not if you listen to the leaders of some of the
larger software companies, who claim that the commercial software model alone
has the capacity to sustain real economic growth. As Craig Mundie, a Senior
Vice President at Microsoft writes:
"When comparing the commercial software model to the open-source software
model, look carefully at the business plans and licensing structures that form
their foundations. This comparison leads to the conclusion that the commercial
software model alone has the capacity for sustaining real economic growth."
While there is clearly an element of self interest here, from a pure revenue
perspective, commercial software has vastly outperformed open source software
to date. Red Hat, the largest commercial open source software company, has approximately
$650M in sales, while Microsoft, the largest commercial software company, has
nearly 100 times that. So, is the dawn of open source also the dusk of innovation?
The simple answer is no.
While revenue comparisons seem to indicate that closed source is the superior
solution, they overlook very important distinctions, one of which is the size
and state of the market. Open source software is still new to the enterprise
world. With the exception of the Linux operating system, open source software
has only had a significant presence in enterprise for a few years.
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