The Insider's Guide to Next-Generation BPM
By Ryan Nichols, Head of Cloudsourcing and Cloud Strategy, Appirio , 01/11/2010
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Editor's note: Don't miss our Cloud QCamp on April 7, 2010 to learn everything you need to know about cloud computing.
As 2010 kicks off, the pundits are weighing in on what the world should expect from cloud computing in 2010. Gartner calls cloud computing the most strategic technology for 2010; others have predicted more cloud outages and cloud malware. IDC expects offerings that bridge private and public clouds. Others think private clouds are over-hyped. Forrester is focussing on social computing becoming mainstream, while others think we're still experimenting.
They can't all be right. In fact, that's half the fun of predictions.
To come up with our own annual predictions for what CIOs should expect in cloud computing this year, we asked our feet on the street -- the Appirio team of nearly 200 cloud practitioners who are on the ground accelerating the adoption of cloud computing at hundreds of real-life customers. Since the power of cloud computing is based on the concept of shared infrastructure, it's fitting that our 2010 predictions about cloud computing be powered by a shared infrastructure of a different sort -- the collective knowledge of Appirio employees and customers.
The wisdom of this crowd has an impressive track record. Despite 2009's uncertainties, we think a CIO would have been well guided by our predictions last year. When we look back at those 10 predictions, we believe 7 of them turned out to be accurate. And we'd still stand by the all the remaining 3 -- just not for 2009.
We were even more provocative in our predictions for 2010, but think that a compelling set of ideas rose to the top of the voting. The ideas that didn't rise to the top also contained some interesting topics to explore, so watch for Part II of this article next week on the more controversial ideas that didn't make the cut for our top 10 predictions.
But first, here's a summary of our 2010 cloud predictions. They cover topics ranging from cloud standards and vendor lock-in, to cloud communities and collaboration, to integration and industry consolidation. We cover cloud leaders, including Salesforce, Google, Amazon, and Microsoft, and cloud wannabes, including Oracle and the Global SIs. Overall, we expect 2010 to be a year of maturity for the cloud, especially the business of cloud computing for the enterprise.
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