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Joe McKendrick

Prediction: Make Room for Even More SOA

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Service oriented architecture adoption will double over the next four years, a leading analyst firm predicts.

AMR Research has just issued a forecast that the SOA market will hit $52 billion by the year 2012, up from the current level of about $28 billion. (Full PDF report available here at ebizQ.) By that time, 77% of companies will have SOA, the analyst firm predicts.

AMR also observed that SOA spending is significant — In 2007 alone, "the average SOA adopter spent nearly $1.4M, and 45% reported spending over $500K on SOA software and services," the consultancy observed.

What's going to be part of this $52-billion market? AMR says it's going to be a lot of things, and not just enterprise service buses and integrated development environments. Include in the mix business process management, legacy modernization, and Web 2.0 tools. SOA-enabled packaged applications will also be big sellers.

The only things that could diminish SOA adoption are a bad economy that results in IT projects getting cut, or a shortage of skills for building, deploying, and maintaining SOA-based applications, the analyst firm adds.

Vendors are really pushing SOA hard, to the point where it "will be coming to customers, whether they want it or not," AMR said.

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SOA in Action Blog

Joe McKendrick

Joe McKendrick is an author and independent analyst who tracks the impact of information technology on management and markets. Joe is also SOA community manager for ebizQ, and speaks frequently on Enterprise 2.0 and SOA topics at industry events and Webcasts. Joe also authors ZDNet's SOA blog. He also serves as lead analyst and author of Evans Data Corp.'s highly regarded bi-annual SOA/Web Services and Web 2.0 surveys. Joe writes a regular column for Database Trends & Applications, and has authored numerous research reports in partnership with Unisphere Research for user groups such as SHARE, Oracle Applications Users Group, and International DB2 Users Group. In a previous life, Joe served as director of the Administrative Management Society (AMS), an international professional association dedicated to advancing knowledge within the IT and business management fields.


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