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Before we exited for the breakout sessions, Daryl Plummer outlined their plans for an open research meeting to be held on Wednesday, where we all have a chance to participate in Gartner's research here on site. He showed us four predictions, of which two will be discussed in the research meeting:

• By 2010, Business Process Modeling will be widely and routinely used as a planning tool for performance optimization and will grow to become half as popular as the spreadsheet.
• By 2011, competitive and successful businesses that do not recognize and prepare to take advantage of BPM/SOA/Web enabled Modularized Business Processes will be dangerously exposed to being hunted and assimilated by those that do.
• By 2010, the artificial separation of transaction processing and decision support workloads will be seen as obsolete, to be replaced by case management as the preferred design pattern.
• By 2012, technologies to support BPM will have been absorbed into other products and no longer considered a distinct category.

By a show of hands, the first and fourth of these were selected for discussion. Unfortunately, this is at the end of the day on Wednesday, by which time I'll be on a flight home. Should be an interesting discussion.

Posted by Sandy Kemsley at 12:46 PM in BPM • GartnerBPM2007 | Digg This | Add to del.icio.us

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